Tout Rankings Week 7

Welcome back to the Advanced Sports Analytics Tout Rankings. Today we are ranking the Tout performance for Week 7 of the NFL season. As a reminder, we rank 6 sites, numberfire.com, swishanalytics.com, fantasylabs.com, fantasyinsiders.com, fantasyalarm.com, and 4for4.com. The rankings for this week are as follows:

4for4 fantasyalarm fantasyinsiders fantasylabs numberfire swishanalytics
MSE 41.129 46.278 39.972 47.799 42.582 40.041
MAE 4.922 5.154 4.057 5.408 4.232 4.355
ME 0.779 0.233 -1.062 0.843 -1.139 0.194
RS 0.603 0.587 0.512 0.658 0.449 0.478

This week we had some strong performances from the touts. We had no huge outliers in the mean error, and this week showed some particularly high RS values. The strong touts of the week were fantasylabs and fantasyalarm. We selected fantasyalarm for their low MSE, MAE and ME this week, they scored consistently lower on these categories than the rest of the field. We selected fantasylabs because of their consistently strong RS values across the many weeks that we have been doing this analysis. RS is probably the most insightful statistic as it gives us a good idea of fantasylabs understanding of the shape of the field. Again, numberfire seems to have had a big miss on the ME, and had a low RS relative to the field.

The cumulative results are as follows:

4for4 fantasyalarm fantasyinsiders fantasylabs numberfire swishanalytics
MSE 49.073 55.776 41.758 57.196 45.084 45.837
MAE 5.244 5.606 4.374 5.776 4.402 4.732
ME 0.205 -0.200 -0.884 0.441 -1.390 -0.286
RS 0.558 0.561 0.575 0.625 0.469 0.489

As we can see, this week was stronger than the average week in terms of prediction. We will be publishing the matrix of data for subscribers if you want to try to get a better understanding of each tout. Thanks for reading, come back next week for the Week 8 analysis.