Sacramento @ Cleveland (O/U 214.5, Cle -12.5)
Houston @ Boston (O/U 228.5, Hou -4)
Miami @ Brooklyn (O/U 214.5, Mia -4)
Philadelphia @ Milwaukee (O/U 206, Mil -11)
Atlanta @ Chicago (O/U 202, Atl -1.5)
Golden State @ Charlotte (O/U 223, GS -10)
Toronto @ Memphis (O/U 201, Mem -5.5)
Oklahoma City @ New Orleans (O/U 217.5, OKC -1.5)
New York @ Dallas (O/U 204, Dal -2.5)
LA Lakers @ Portland (O/U 222, Por -9)
Stephen Curry ($8,500) - $8,500 is a great price for Curry (even for a huge 10-game slate) in my opinion. His production is usually stellar when the Warriors top 120 points, and they are at 116.5 implied points tonight. Curry, much more so than Kevin Durant, shows good production stability in blowout Warriors' victories.
Russell Westbrook ($12,800) - He's been the most productive fantasy player this year. No qualms about him tonight in what is expected to be a reasonably high-scoring and competitive game against the Pelicans.
Goran Dragic ($7,300) - The price isn't overwhelmingly low, but his production is really good when the Heat score between 105-115 and/or win by ~5 points (109.25 implied points, -4 line) and his production should get a big boost from injuries to Winslow, T. Johnson, and Richardson (correlations -0.03, -0.23, -0.57 respectively).
Jerian Grant ($3,800) - Based purely on his promotion to starting PG. The Bulls aren't a high-powered offense, and Grant hasn't had overwhelming production even when given more minutes. But at this price-level he's more likely to top 25 minutes than any other option.
James Harden ($12,300) - He and Russell Westbrook are in a league of their own in terms of production. With Boston SG and "Harden-stopper" Avery Bradley out due to injury, Harden figures to be a stud at SG or PG.
Louis Williams ($5,800)/Jordon Clarkson ($4,900) - I'm expecting Brandon Ingram to be the primary beneficiary of D'Angelo Russell's injury, but Williams and Clarkson would appear to be 2a and 2b. I think given the Lakers' implied point total of 106.5 Williams is probably a safer play, Clarkson with a little more upside if the game becomes a shootout.
Norman Powell ($3,600) - Powell proved to have a ton of value last night (8.8 DKP/$1K). Memphis will prove to be a tough matchup, especially on the second night of a back-to-back which saw Powell play 39 minutes the night before. But the minutes should be there for Powell who was very effective in his starting role last night.
LeBron James ($10,000) - I think LeBron is a better value than Giannis tonight, who is rarely priced as high as his $10,600 salary tonight. Durant's price is reasonable, but I don't know that the game will be close enough for him to have great upside. LeBron seems to have the best mix of value and upside among the top 3 SFs.
Brandon Ingram ($4,600) - I love Ingram tonight, who is expected to start in place of D'Angelo Russell as the Lakers' "point forward". He has a moderate to strong negative correlation with Russell (-0.44) and his production seems to be better the less competitive the game is, although it's hard to say if this pattern will hold for him as a starter.
Norman Powell ($3,600)/Terrence Ross ($4,500) - See SG section. Powell and Ross both have SF & SG qualification.
Kevin Love ($7,800) - I Love's price more than Cousins at $10,800. But more importantly, Cousins' production falls off a cliff as the Kings' lose by double digits.Love on the other hand has much better production stability across large spreads. Additionally, Cousins' production doesn't really take off unless the Kings top 110 (101 implied points), while Love's production soars as the Cavs top 110 (113.5 implied points).
Ryan Anderson ($4,500) - There aren't any PFs that are bowling me over with value upside. Anderson has some 35+ DKP upside, and $4,500 is a great price for him.
A high-scoring and competitive game is a favorable scenario for Anderson. He is coming off of a stomach virus, but reports are that he will play without a minutes' restriction. He could be a nice value play tonight if the game is high-scoring and close.
Noah Vonleh ($3,000) - Vonleh doesn't have huge upside, but nobody really does at the salary minimum. What Vonleh does have? A firm grip on the starting PF role tonight (with Ed Davis listed as doubtful) and an average value of 6.46 DKP/$1K over the last 4 games.
Anthony Davis ($10,400) - I've voiced my concerns about Cousins in the PF studs section, and thus like Davis as a top C more than Cousins. He is listed as questionable tonight due to a leg bruise. Keep an eye on his status, but if he plays tonight figures to be a good matchup for him.
Hassan Whiteside ($7,900) - Miami is decimated at guard, which doesn't have a huge impact on Whiteside (see DKP correlation matrix with Goran Dragic). But $7,900 for Whiteside (especially against the Nets who can't stop anyone) should be a steal. The game is expected to be a little high-scoring for Whiteside's ideal production (he's tends to be more productive in the 95-100 point range than the 105-110 point range), but his production upside is undeniable.
Nerlens Noel ($4,300) - With Okafor and Embiid expected to be out again, Noel is the de facto starter at center. He was great value (10.7 DKP/$1K) last night in the same role.
Clint Capela ($4,200) - I think Noel is safer and has more upside for only $100 more. Capela's minutes have been rising since his return from IR.
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