Welcome back to our weekly Tout Ranking analysis. This week we will be looking at the tout projections for Week 5 of the NFL season. As a reminder, we rank 6 sites, numberfire.com, swishanalytics.com, fantasylabs.com, fantasyinsiders.com, fantasyalarm.com, and 4for4.com. The rankings for this week are as follows:
The results for this week show fantasylabs as the clear leader. They had the overall lowest mean error and highest RS values but a large margin. Most sites seriously under projected the field this week, but since we know that fantasylabs is consistently higher than the field, they were very accurate this week. The other top tout this week was 4for4, which did not make very many terrible predictions, hence their low MSE and MAE.
The top under projected players this week were T.Y. Hilton, Ezekiel Elliot, Sammie Coates, Martellus Bennett, and Jeremy Kerley. All of these players scored around the thirty point range, and most were not projected over 20. A common theme is that receiving players are often the players with the highest variance, and therefore can come across as under projected.
The season long aggregate is as follows:
The best season long tout has probably been fantasyalarm, with startlingly accurate ME. Come back next week for Week 6 Tout Rankings.